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◆ Sovereign back in euros, alternating from dollars in 2025 ◆ “Very low double digit” spread over Germany ◆ Sweden, KfW key comps
Likely successor as UK prime minister Andy Burnham further to the political 'left than anyone else’ but market hopeful that scope for more borrowing is limited
Fiscal targets for 2026 already met, more early debt repayments underway
A rally thanks to cheaper oil has let the Gilt market defer its reckoning with political risk. But it is coming, for sure
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Upcoming rates decisions in four major economies create a fleeting issuance window -
Issuer adjusts execution strategy to price off swaps instead of Treasuries, outlines plans for 2026 funding
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◆ Sovereign prices just 1.7bp over US Treasuries ◆ Rarity and diversification attract investors ◆ International issuance picks up
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The issuer is set to price flat to fair value, or a few basis points over at most
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S&P’s cut to sovereign rating was unscheduled, but unsurprising
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Govvies outperform swaps as market participants contemplate next year’s spread direction
