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Chancellor’s fiscal headroom surprisingly doubles but backloaded consolidation efforts raise concerns
‘All done’ for 2025 as UK Budget and Thanksgiving approach but 'very crowded' January ahead
◆ Pulay highlights 29% rise in investor numbers ◆ UK accounts dominate ◆ Communications strategy seen as key
Pan-European stock exchange shares what was behind its recent decision to launch a defence bond label, how it may help both issuers and investors, and what lies ahead
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Two factors bear outsized influence on capital markets — Covid-19 and central bank stimulus. But the temptation to see these powerful forces culminating in one of two extreme outcomes — another crash as a feeble economy flounders, or a boom like the 1920s US — must be resisted.
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Italy hit the market with a dual tranche on Tuesday, raising €4bn with a 30 year linker and €10bn with a new 10 year BTP. A sharp move in pricing on the 10 year leg meant it lost €45bn of orders, but SSA bankers on and off the deal said the trade was still a good result.
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European investors have wholeheartedly embraced the EU’s Next Generation EU programme and piled into risky assets in anticipation of a swifter recovery. But rating agencies are less convinced, warning that only the substance and implementation of national recovery plans will determine the trajectory of European growth.
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Italy came to the market for its first syndication since a seismic rally in the sovereign’s bonds after Mario Draghi agreed to form a new government earlier this month. But despite the huge confidence from investors in BTPs, a compression of 4bp from initial price thoughts for a new 10 year led to a dramatic loss of over €45bn orders.
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Spain’s new 50 year euro benchmark, which was priced last week, has performed well in the secondary market with the spread narrowing by 3bp, according to levels provided by ICE Data Services.
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Italy hit screens on Monday to announce a dual-tranche syndicated deal comprising a new 10 year benchmark and 30 year inflation-linked bond.