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'Everyone is ready for summer to be over' as SSA wave builds for Monday
Analysts discuss the scope of tightening in Bund swap spreads and the impact on SSA spreads
OATs and OLOs could weaken further versus Bunds while southern European countries and EU continue to paint a positive picture
Uncertainty looms large as presidential race far from clear and budget negotiations potentially ‘highly challenging’
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The new issues market for sovereign, supranational and agency borrowers could be wrecked in 2012 unless dealers can find a way to mitigate changes to bank regulations that are crushing the business model.
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Sovereign, supranational and agency issuance planning for 2012 lay in tatters after last week’s Eurogroup summit left issuers and their advisors riddled with uncertainty. Although funding volumes are known, plans of campaign are limited to taking a wait-and-see approach as issuers face up to increased scrutiny, wider spreads and smaller deal sizes.
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Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s last Canada Mortgage Bond of the year, a C$5.5bn tap of its 1.85% December 2016s, attracted some C$7bn of orders this week — despite a below average international investor participation of 13%.
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Asian bond issuers are lining up to tap the market at the start of next year, and bankers hope that early supply from well-regarded issuers will ensure a busy first quarter.
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The Republic of the Philippines is considering launching a benchmark dollar bond in January, raising part of the $2.25bn it hopes to get from the international bond market throughout 2012. But contrary to some press reports this week, government officials say they have still not mandated banks for the deal.