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'Everyone is ready for summer to be over' as SSA wave builds for Monday
Analysts discuss the scope of tightening in Bund swap spreads and the impact on SSA spreads
OATs and OLOs could weaken further versus Bunds while southern European countries and EU continue to paint a positive picture
Uncertainty looms large as presidential race far from clear and budget negotiations potentially ‘highly challenging’
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Belgium has taken comfort from relatively stable markets to shrug off Standard & Poor's mass sovereign downgrade on Friday by preparing its traditional January 10 year OLO syndication. Although Belgium escaped a downgrade, difficult markets mean the borrower has not set a deadline for the trade, although it could launch as early as Tuesday if conditions are favourable.
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Sovereign and agency bond markets showed resilience on Monday, following Standard & Poor’s downgrade of nine eurozone sovereigns late on Friday. However, market participants were still concerned over whether eurozone supranationals would retain their triple-A ratings.
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Sovereign debt problems could be set to engulf the SSA market once more on Friday afternoon as the wheels came off Greek debt restructuring talks and Standard & Poor’s looked set to slash France’s credit rating.
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