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  • It's now all Trump, all the time – especially for China. In this round-up, a recap of our top stories from an eventful week. In broader news, the RMB struggles against the dollar, China’s foreign exchange (FX) reserves hit new lows in October, and the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank readies a seat at the table for Hong Kong.
  • SSA
    An upset in the US presidential election overnight on Tuesday caught the world and its capital markets off-guard. Just like the Friday morning after the Brexit vote many awoke seemingly unprepared for a perilous open. But Donald Trump’s ascent to the White House, which so few capital markets participants wanted or predicted, has not disrupted market activity as much as might have been feared, for now.
  • This week, those in the capital markets showed it’s not just electorates that can deliver surprises. Investors got one back — by making markets rise on a shock Donald Trump election victory.
  • One thing needs to be made clear about a Trump presidency in the US: the president-elect is not a Wall Street Republican and he did not rely on the support of bankers to win the White House.
  • The European Central Bank’s politicised decision to allow bail-inable German senior unsecured debt to be eligible for repo, whilst denying the same rights for everyone else, is untenable.
  • Cable company Com Hem has been sounding investors since Wednesday for a new issue in Swedish krona to redeem its old Skr2.5bn bonds due 2019, adding Swedish momentum to the Nordic corporate high yield bond market.
  • Addressing the nation on television in November 1967, British prime minister Harold Wilson announced the devaluation of the pound and famously declared that "it does not mean that the pound here in Britain, in your pocket, has been devalued."
  • I was a risk taker, back in the day, always on the lookout for money-making ventures. Now that I am retired, I am more conservative, but I made a big blunder on Tuesday after imbibing a Scotch or two at Captain’s Bar.
  • Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election went largely unnoticed in key niche currency bond markets on Wednesday morning. Non-core currency bankers were confident pipelines will remain unchanged in Norway, and Switzerland.
  • Remarkable resilience in the face of an uncertain future was the tale of emerging market bond prices on Wednesday as Donald Trump won the presidential election in the US, much to the surprise of EM traders themselves, who expected the risk aversion to last much longer. But the outlook for EM bonds under a Trump presidency is far from rosy. Latin America has been the clear underperformer so far but more pain is expected.
  • Though emerging market loans widened in early trading on the day after Donald Trump’s election, pricing for both IG and EM loans returned to the levels of the day before by midday — as the overriding theme of cheap money in European markets, not the shock result of the US vote, dominated.
  • There was a benign response in the European leveraged loan market on Wednesday to Donald Trump's shock US election victory. How the result affects the post-summer repricing wave is a little more unclear, however, especially given the pipeline of new paper.