Euro
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Even those who had expected a soaring end to the year have doubts after zero issuance so far
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◆ Barclays’ bumper senior print proves euro market wide open ◆ US downgrade unsettles sentiment ◆ Dollars still the cheaper market
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Data centre companies will need to finance the expected vast new infrastructure
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Already more big deals than last year, but numbers pale against recent averages
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Issuance just shy at this point of most recent year with more than €320bn in bond sales
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A more benign backdrop tipped to entice riskier credits into trades
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◆ Senior holdco deal one of largest order books of the year ◆ Only 10bp-15bp of concession needed to seal €1.25bn deal ◆ Despite the strong outcome, further supply is not a given
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Tight overall covered bond spreads mean that new issue premiums appear elevated, despite lower levels
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Central banks play nice but a reckoning is coming for corporate spreads
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Provinces take a step back from borrowing but pension sector issuers lean forward
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◆ Regulator starts collecting data on hedging and accounting of capital instruments ◆ Is AT1 debt or equity? ◆ BNP Paribas’s reclassification of future dollar AT1 provides an example
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Clear but non-traditional window opens after central banks stick to plan