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Analysts weigh implications for Argentina's currency trading band
The dollar tap was priced tight, said one sovereign debt investor
Primary markets in LatAm and CEEMEA had their quietest week since August
2025 has been a much more difficult year for Milei, after a successful 2024
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International bonds issued by El Salvador and Costa Rica are proving to be a sweet spot for EM investors, with the notes extending their rally this week as both countries look closer than ever to signing IMF programmes. But there are risks to the positive credit narratives driving the performance of both sovereigns, analysts warned.
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Argentina’s northernmost province, Jujuy, said on Monday evening that it had reached an agreement with more than half the holders of its $210m green bond regarding a restructuring proposal that would grant it significant short-term debt relief.
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South America’s largest beef exporter, Minerva, will look to price a new 10 year non-call five bond on Wednesday as part of a liability management exercise that will be debt-neutral or debt-negative.
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Brazilian mining giant Vale said on Friday that it plans to prepay its €750m January 2023s as record iron ore prices allowed it to build cash levels greater than its gross debt.
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El Salvador’s bonds retained recent gains on Thursday as EM’s riskiest credits proved resilient to the week’s US Treasury sell-off, with bondholders hoping that Sunday’s mid-term elections will give president Nayib Bukele the political capital he requires to implement an IMF programme.
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Emerging market assets took a hit after several days of US rates volatility this week as market participants braced for further gyrations and issuers avoided raising dollar bonds. Market participants are praying that further central bank stimulus will pacify markets and believe that the asset class is far better prepared for higher rates than it was for the 2013 taper tantrum. Oliver West, Lewis McLellan and Mariam Meskin report.