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Covered issuance 'more or less done for now,' analysts say
Covered bonds performed despite geopolitical shocks in early 2026 and will continue to do so for the rest of the year, Rabobank has suggested
New issue premiums have remained around 2bp despite five deals in the past two weeks compared with 12 in the previous two weeks
Data
Sub-sections
Sub-sections
Deal reviews
◆ Second public sterling covered bond secured against BTL mortgages ◆ Spread gap compressed versus prime covered bond peers ◆ Small premium paid
British bank picks four leads to run its second public sterling BTL mortgage covered bond
◆ Canadian issuer tightened spread by 2bp ◆ Bank's seventh tranche of covereds of 2026 ◆ BMO has placed dollar euro and sterling covereds since January
◆ First covered bond of 12 years or longer since the bank issued in January ◆ Banker ‘positively surprised’ with size ◆ Premium paid
Opinion
Covered bond issuers have been reluctant to issue on the same day as a central bank announcement, but this is starting to change
The new European Secured Note market is keen to secure regulatory recognition for the new product but there are advantages to not having it
If it looks like a covered bond, acts like a covered bond and prices like a covered bond, then it probably should be treated like one
Easily dismissed as "fast money" with all the negative implications that can bring in the primary bond market, hedge funds are becoming increasingly important to covered bond issuers
Analysis
After the busiest June since 2010, banks are well progressed in the covered funding programmes
Benchmark issuance is running 13% ahead of last year
Burst of deals this year in uneven market suggests investors want alternatives to Treasuries
Central and Eastern Europe earmarked as an area of growth by market participants
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More from covered bonds
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The skittish state of investor demand that was recently on display in covered bonds may herald a reassessment of credit, particularly as spreads are back to pre-pandemic levels and seemingly have limited potential for further performance.
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As inflation fears spread through the bond market, demand has fallen, particularly at the long end of the curve. However, the SSA market defied this trend last week with borrowers seeking duration, with the average maturity of a deal around 13 years. Similarly, the corporate market stretched its averaged maturity to 12 years, from just 7.4 years the week before.
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Bank of Montreal attracted good demand for a €1.25bn eight year covered bond on Tuesday and paid a modest new issue concession. The outcome was deemed a fine result given that market conditions are not at their best.