Central and Eastern Europe (CEE)
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Investors are keeping a watchful eye over the escalating tit-for-tat threats between the United States and Turkey. Asset prices have so far remain unmoved, but analysts have warned that any move to impose tougher sanctions could be catastrophic.
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It has been a busy week so far in CEEMEA bonds this week with three deals sold. Meanwhile, in the loan market, sanctions threaten the pricing on Turkey bank loans.
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Russian potash producer Uralkali hit the market on Tuesday, tightening pricing on a $500m bond issue, the borrower's first international deal since 2013. DCM bankers are confident Russian issuance will continue to fill the market throughout the fourth quarter, as Norilsk Nickel began a roadshow.
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Turkey’s banks have begun their second refinancing season of the year, though increasing political uncertainty, which has led to new US sanctions on Turkey, could potentially jeopardise primary and secondary pricing levels for the borrowers, according to bankers.
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The branding may be on the way out, but there are plenty of reasons to be encouraged about the potential for real progress in the next phase of the Capital Markets Union.
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Turkey’s decision to launch a military offensive in Syria has reopened the possibility of sanctions from the US, with its Senate introducing a bill to do so on Wednesday. However, the investor community is doubtful about their impact.
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Kernel, a Ukrainian agricultural producer, hit the market on Thursday with a five year non-call three bond and raised $300m with a trade that bankers said was tricky to price.
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Kernel, a Ukrainian agricultural producer, hit the market on Thursday with a five year non-call three year. In spite of fears around Ukraine’s future relationship with the IMF, the leads have set initial price thoughts at a level onlookers are calling “aggressive”.
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Equity bankers and investors are hot on Russia and a block on Wednesday night in PIK Group, the country’s largest real estate firm, served as a further example of the remarkable recovery of Russian ECM.
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US president Donald Trump’s salvo of tweets against Turkey, which threaten economic sanctions, have had only a muted effect on the Turkish curve, as investors' scepticism towards Trump grows.
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Russian potash producer Uralkali is going on the road for five year dollar paper, returning to the international market for the first time in six years.
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