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New issue premiums in recent weeks were lower compared to the highs after the Iran-US conflict began
◆ Only 4bp paid over theoretical new KfW ◆ Länder bonds continued to be seen as expensive ◆ Will bank treasuries switch to EIB from Länder?
Mandates from Eurofima, Germany, Wallonia and the Free State of Thuringia
◆ Pricing was tricky after Hamburg’s recent five year ◆ Is 7bp the new magic number for Länder? ◆ Five year demand lacking, Thuringia to test 10 year
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◆ Bond priced flat to fair value ◆ 'Pros and cons' for tightening ◆ No-grow tactic deployed -
Market to come back strong after pausing for central bank meetings and Lunar New Year
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◆ Deal over 3x covered ◆ Peer supply 'only way to look at pricing' ◆ No-grow label helps deal
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◆ Deal four times covered ◆ Walloon used as reference ◆ Higher than average tightening
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◆ Book halves after tightening ◆ Bond prices at fair value ◆ Tightening by 1bp could 'kill a trade for the German states right now'
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Lunar New Year celebrations and Federal Reserve and ECB meetings will reduce issuance this week
