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Sovereigns

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SSA
All as expected by the market, but lack of more details regarding bill issuance somewhat disappoints
◆ Sovereign back in euros, alternating from dollars in 2025 ◆ “Very low double digit” spread over Germany ◆ Sweden, KfW key comps
Likely successor as UK prime minister Andy Burnham further to the political 'left than anyone else’ but market hopeful that scope for more borrowing is limited
Fiscal targets for 2026 already met, more early debt repayments underway
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  • Unlike its last syndication in January, when Spain lost over €75bn of orders after an aggressive move in pricing, the sovereign took a more cautious approach on its return to the public market this week to print its biggest ever 50 year bond.
  • Norway comfortably set a new order book record as it came to the market for just its fifth ever syndicated transaction on Wednesday.
  • Italian prime minister-designate Mario Draghi must walk a knife-edge if he is to form a government and present a national recovery and resilience plan. If he takes too hard a line the mill of Italian politics will chew him up and spit him out. If he is too quick to compromise, the EU’s life as a giant bond issuer may be shorter than hoped.
  • Norway began taking indications of interest on Tuesday for its fifth ever syndicated transaction as it continues its path towards becoming a regular issuer of public benchmark bonds.
  • SSA
    Trading levels given are bid-side spreads versus mid-swaps and/or an underlying benchmark and bid-yields from the close of business on Monday, February 8. The source for secondary trading levels is ICE Data Services.
  • After taking an aggressive approach for its last syndication in January which resulted in a shocking loss of over €75bn of orders, Spain returned to a more moderate and conventional pricing process as it came to the market for a new 50 year bond on Tuesday.