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Higher rates from the outbreak of the war have enhanced callable MTNs' yield appeal
◆ Tobias Landström on recent dollar three year trade ◆ Investors keen for short-dated dollar paper ◆ Dollar and euro funding levels have improved
◆ AIIB's Darren Stipe on cementing top tier status ◆ Cross-currency funding changes ◆ AIIB printed around $1bn dollar callables last year
Varied issuance in senior credit this week, including blue and green bonds, as ultra-long vanilla duration returns in SSA private placements
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Unsecured euro money market borrowing this week reached its highest level since the European Central Bank began publishing statistics in November 2017, driven by issuers scrambling for funds to combat the coronavirus pandemic, according to one analyst.
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The Bank of England this week signaled that it is changing its stance and considering bringing its base rate into negative territory. But with the UK Debt Management Office (DMO) issuing three year paper with a negative yield for the first time, as well as printing £7bn ($8.56bn) of 41 year bonds, there are few worries for the SSA market.
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The recent maturity of a large Nokkie line released NOK9bn ($904.5m) into the market last week, with some foreign investors eager to reinvest in attractive short end paper.
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JP Morgan, the leading SSA bookrunner over the last five years, is clinging onto pole position for 2020, despite a mighty effort from Citi, which has topped the rankings since the Covid-19 pandemic began disrupting markets in earnest. But it is a far different picture in SSA MTNs with Scandinavians surging to the top, thanks to a growth in niche currency supply.
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The pain that negative rates in dollars could cause money market funds hangs like an albatross around the US Federal Reserve’s neck. Talk of them has picked up over the last week as US Federal Funds Futures prices started to imply they were on their way, while president Donald Trump pushed the topic on Twitter, even though and Fed chair Jerome Powell appeared to rule them out.
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The Norges Bank surprised the market with an unexpected base rate cut to a record low of zero on Thursday. Since the start of the year, coronavirus volatility and wildly gyrating oil prices have buffeted the value of the kroner.