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Supras and agencies

A hawkish Fed may allow SSAs to spread wings in dollars

The world’s major central banks were already on divergent paths early in 2016, but the election of Donald Trump as US president could see the Federal Reserve become even more hawkish in 2017 than had previously been expected. Such a shift in policy could re-open some funding avenues to public sector borrowers, Craig McGlashan finds.

Craig McGlashan, January 01, 2017
LevFin Leveraged Loans

UK corporate funding picture surprisingly sanguine

The UK’s decision to leave the European Union cast extreme uncertainty over the economy, the values and even the unity of the country. Its ramifications for domestic companies’ financing capabilities has been both more obvious and more benign, however. Max Bower reports.

Max Bower, January 01, 2017
Sovereigns

Call in the builders: a new fiscal focus for government bond markets

In the West a shift in focus towards fiscal stimulus and away from austerity was already underway before the shock result in the US presidential election. That shift will accelerate in 2017, with more government borrowing and a deterioration of sovereign creditworthiness. Bad news for fixed income? Not all investors think so. Craig McGlashan reports.

Craig McGlashan, January 01, 2017
Investment Grade Loans

Tired of waiting, loan bankers pile into Schuldscheine

The loan market will always be there if favoured clients want large sums — the trouble is, hardly any do. Banks are improvising, finding mid-caps more receptive — especially in the Schuldschein market. Elly Whittaker reports.

Elly Whittaker, January 01, 2017
Emerging Markets

Trump kills EM bull, issuers to fight for funding in next round

2017 will suffer periods of extreme volatility meaning EM borrowers will need to be more nimble than ever before. Virginia Furness reports.

Virginia Furness, January 01, 2017
LevFin

HY and leveraged loans vie for business as buy-outs languish

Will 2017 be a year for new conquests in the European leveraged finance markets? No one believes so. Rather, there will be a tug of war between high yield bonds and loans for issuance, better funding costs and investors’ cash. Victor Jimenez and Max Bower report.

Max Bower, January 01, 2017
EM Middle East

Oil be back: GCC to dominate in 2017

Strong credit fundaments and a supportive technical bid from local investors should help the GCC’s borrowers to weather any volatility thrown at them in 2017. But analysts warn of political threats putting negative pressure on the region’s bond prices. Virginia Furness reports.

Virginia Furness, January 01, 2017
Corporate Bonds

As CSPP magic fades, corporate bond market faces life on its own

The European Central Bank will be a focal point for the euro investment grade corporate bond market this year but the Corporate Sector Purchase Programme party is over. In a world of rising US interest rates and political risk, participants are wondering how to avoid a hangover when the ECB eventually leaves their market. Ross Lancaster reports.

Ross Lancaster, January 01, 2017
Equity

Equities jump on Trump reflation train — expect a bumpy ride

Equity investors have something new to believe in: fiscal largesse in the US kickstarting global growth. That’s good news for the many companies and banks with capital to raise in 2017 — the trouble is, markets are likely to be as volatile as Donald Trump’s temper. By Jon Hay, additional reporting by Aidan Gregory

Jon Hay, January 01, 2017
Corporate Bonds

Corporate bond investors try to eke out a living in yield desert

The one-way bet on spreads that has made investors rich in the European corporate bond market over the last year will be replaced by trickier but potentially more lucrative gambles in the financial, high yield and hybrid sectors. Ross Lancaster reports.

Ross Lancaster, January 01, 2017
Equity

CBs: back to basics as rate hikes tempt weaker credits

Europe’s convertible market is no longer dripping with superlatives as 2017 begins — middling performance and mild outflows have taken out some of the heat. That may be a good thing, as investors may get more of the deals they like: for companies whose credit needs some looking at, but with interesting equity stories. Aidan Gregory and Jon Hay report.

Aidan Gregory, January 01, 2017
Betting on a risky year

Toby Fildes looks ahead to an even bumpier ride in 2017 when Fed rate rises might be the least of the global capital market’s worries.

Toby Fildes, January 01, 2017

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