Middle East

Investors gained confidence from the defeat of Turkey's ruling AK Party in the rerun of the Istanbul municipal elections on Sunday. Asset prices have rallied, improving conditions for Turkish borrowers.

Banks pride themselves on analysing and pricing credit. But are they really just slaves to the rating agencies?

Issuance in Swedish kronor picked up this week, with three corporate issuers placing Skr6.28bn ($667.9m) across four private placements, as issuers looked to get in ahead of the midsummer break. In euros, a Dutch and French agency both placed paper, while protests in Hong Kong caused yields to spike in offshore Chinese renminbi and Hong Kong dollars.

Turkey’s banks, renowned for their resilience as borrowers to market shocks, risk paying wider margins when they refinance debt later this year, according to some bankers. The dismal outlook follows Moody’s recent downgrade of Turkey’s sovereign debt and 18 of its banks.

Saudi Arabian banks Alawwal Bank and Saudi British Bank have completed their merger. The deal is yet another bank tie-up taking place in the Gulf, as lenders strive to stay competitive. Royal Bank of Scotland, which held a stake in Alawwal, has received capital relief from the transaction.

Moody’s took the axe to Turkey’s credit rating after market close on Friday, cutting the sovereign’s rating from Ba3 to B1 in a move that has raised hackles from some international investors.

Emerging market bankers forecasted on Monday a spate of deals from across the EMEA region due this week, as Sharjah Islamic Bank joined the fray with a sukuk mandate that will begin with a spell of investor meetings.

Emirates National Oil Company (ENOC) has raised a $690m loan from an exclusively Chinese syndicate, a rare event rare for the region.

Dubai Islamic Bank (DIB) is set to acquire smaller rival Noor Bank after months of consideration. The merger will create one of the region's largest Islamic banks, and adds to a succession of bank tie-ups taking place or under consideration across the Gulf.

BlackRock, KKR loan for ADNOC 'close to signing' — Uralkali signs as lenders prepare for EuroChem —Redexis joins Spanish trend to ESG borrowing — French Ipsen debuts in US PP market — Turkish banks close refi season, with wider secondaries

The Federal Reserve is losing confidence in the US economy, global economic growth is flagging and Treasury yields are staggeringly low. Emerging market assets, meanwhile, are full of beans, as low rates and healthy risk appetite provide a magic combination for EM companies looking to raise capital. But the Fed is worried for a reason: there’s trouble ahead, write Lewis McLellan and Sam Kerr.

Turkish banks have completed the first refi season of the year and, despite ongoing geopolitical issues including concerns about Turkey's purchase of S400 missiles from Russia, spreads in the secondary loan market have stabilised at slightly wider levels.