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Burst of deals this year in uneven market suggests investors want alternatives to Treasuries
Central and Eastern Europe earmarked as an area of growth by market participants
With masses to fund and spreads super-tight, banks will race to market, but central banks are expected to tighten
Banks could rush to issue as fast as possible, taking advantage of remarkably tight spreads
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◆ Average benchmark tenor up from 2023 ◆ Seven years proves popular ◆ Longer dated deals look unlikely
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◆ New issue premiums return to euro covered issuance ◆ Issuers unable to tighten despite wider starting spreads ◆ French covered spreads could tighten
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◆ German banks raced out of the blocks this year ◆ Slower loan book growth to damp supply ◆ Pfandbrief spreads unlikely to tighten
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Pfandbrief lender plans only two weeks of marketing, down from the eight needed by KfW
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◆ New legislation will drive supply ◆ Covered bonds become a crucial part of Polish funding mix ◆ Up to €1bn of fresh paper expected this year
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French covered bond spreads may be alluring, but issuance will be muted for the rest of the year