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Underlying concerns among investors and issuers about covered bonds force them to the sidelines
Market participants agree new issue premiums will go up when the Iran war ends, but not by how much
Specialist investors and strong names dominate as issuers stretch out to 15 years
Unsecured bonds could become more expensive to issue, covered bonds cheaper
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Investors likely to shun covered bonds for similarly priced — but better treated — SSA deals -
Wider swap spreads provide French covered bonds a buffer against competing SSA levels
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◆ Bund-swap spread hits single digits ◆ Tight levels put pressure on Pfandbrief spreads ◆ Further 'expensive' covered supply unlikely
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◆ Low redemptions led to lower supply in 2024 ◆ Canadian banks could return to refi ◆ Dollar supply to more than double in 2025
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Abnormal trend expected to continue posing question for FIG treasury officials
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Investors would rather buy SSAs than covereds, say bankers
