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Issuers struggle over what concessions investors will require
Issuance in March was never going to be hefty after a record start to the year
Government borrowing costs are rising on local and international markets, and credit ratings are falling
Sovereign also added $300m to a long-dated dollar note
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For now, at least, Argentina appears to be asking its domestic bondholders to take the brunt of the government’s efforts to ease cashflow worries amid the Covid-19 crisis, providing upward momentum to foreign law debt prices.
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As investors single out Mexico’s response to Covid-19 as one of the least convincing in Latin America, Fitch threw government-owned oil company Pemex and its $80bn of bonds deeper into sub-investment grade territory on Friday.
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Owners of Ecuador debt are expecting the country’s legal system to rule on whether Rafael Correa, former president and one-time bond market foe, can participate in next year’s elections. As they plan for the South American nation’s expected restructuring, some analysts spy upside to latest secondary prices.
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EM bond bankers were feeling relieved after a better day for global markets on Thursday, as they said some of the asset class’s best issuers were lining up deals hoping to clinch much-needed funding.
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As the initial government-imposed deadline for Argentina’s mammoth debt restructuring sailed by without a concrete offer to creditors having been put on the table, some analysts are worried that a hard default may be inevitable.
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Bond market participants in Latin America are gradually accepting that Zoom video calls will become a permanent feature of their job. However, in this particularly travel-intensive segment of capital markets, when it comes to selling a product, neither issuers nor bankers appear willing to cut down visits to clients in a region where personal trust is arguably more important than anywhere else.