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Analysts weigh implications for Argentina's currency trading band
The dollar tap was priced tight, said one sovereign debt investor
Primary markets in LatAm and CEEMEA had their quietest week since August
2025 has been a much more difficult year for Milei, after a successful 2024
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Chile, Peru and Colombia — previously hailed by EM investors for orthodox economic policymaking — are under pressure amid social unrest and political polarisation. But as the upheaval whirls around them, their credit in the bank with bondholders, after years of impressive debt management, is a major asset.
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A majority of shareholders of Peruvian mining company Compañía de Minas Buenaventura have approved a motion to allow the company to sell up to $550m of bonds as it looks to finance a retroactive tax liability.
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Grupo Axo, the Mexican fashion retailer, began investor calls on Monday ahead of a possible international bond debut that is being marketed just days after BlackRock made a $45m equity injection into the privately held company.
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Political volatility continues to take its toll on the credit ratings of Latin America’s strongest sovereigns, with Peru the latest to suffer a negative outlook as Moody’s predicted the next government will likely face a continuation of the political gridlock that has hampered economic activity over the last four years.
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Official and multilateral lenders are taking a lenient stance on perennial defaulter Argentina but bond investors are increasingly sceptical whether the IMF programme that the sovereign says it wants will turn its fiscal position around. Markets are pricing in another default within a few years, despite a rebound in bonds this week, while eccentric policy decisions continue to frustrate bondholders.
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Colombia’s credit rating was finally downgraded to sub-investment grade on Wednesday evening, as many had expected it to be. But it was Standard & Poor’s — not Fitch, as most had anticipated — that moved first.