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The necessity of clauses that help developing countries recover from catastrophes is getting more acute
Data-deprived markets should give the shutdown the attention it deserves
Triple-C loan pricing has been shunted wider while the true credit quality of loans trading at par is obscured
Credit Suisse AT1 bondholders should consider alternatives after this week's sharp repricing
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“Who remembers places?” ran a joke on social media as lockdowns swept the globe. The idea that something so fundamental could be forgotten so quickly applies to capital markets too. There, the joke might ask who remembers credit risk. But at a time when central banks seem keen to underwrite credit of almost every variety, maybe it doesn’t matter.
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Firms can spend vast amounts of time window-dressing their balance sheets to look the best they possibly can within the limits of reporting regulations. Within those limits, everything goes.
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The tussle between bond syndicate desks and investors about whether opening books well wide of the final target spread is a worthwhile endeavour or a red flag for unprofessionalism has raged for years. This time, syndicate desks have called it right to start deals so cheap.
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The CLO market is still struggling to find equilibrium as the coronavirus pandemic spreads. The Federal Reserve’s expansion of its Term Asset-Backed Securities Lending Facility (TALF) to include CLO paper as eligible collateral was cheered upon announcement last week. But some puzzling limitations to the Fed’s terms will do little to help the market reboot.
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Sovereign defaults are part of the territory for emerging market investors but even by the standards of previous crises, surely nothing compares to the economic catastrophe that is rapidly engulfing large parts of the developing world.
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For many years, corporate debt investors have scratched their heads and wondered: will anything, ever, cause the returns on bonds to go back to normal again?