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Premiums may not be at risk of increasing yet but caution should remain the watchword
It will be better for all in the long run if Venezuela can prioritise domestic spending over debt repayments
The rollover risks sovereigns are accepting in exchange for cheaper funding
It's not the juniors in capital markets who need protecting from obsolescence. They stand to benefit most from the deployment of AI
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Safe. Solid. Secure. It must be the Swiss franc bond market. But yields falling to levels unappealing even to some, at least, of the most conservative money managers on the planet are threatening to shake up that sedate world, and, in a positive model for the wider capital markets, encourage investors to start buying riskier credits.
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The debate over whether Deutsche Bank should have called its lower tier two bond at the first opportunity is refusing to die down with more fuel added to the fire this week when HBOS announced that it would call an upcoming deal of its own. Investors are still in inflammatory mood but tempers could be cooled if only bank regulators would stand up and publicly support issuers.
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The corporate bond market looked like one of the worst casualties of 2008’s turmoil. Its vital signs were weak, its pulse was fading and only a prescription of generous spreads and a course of utilities transactions helped the sector recover in the final weeks of the year. But it’s not time for the patient to jump out of bed and start flirting with the nurses — the all-clear is a long way off yet.
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Depression hit the debt capital markets in no small way last year as the final volume tallies show. Moods have been lifted by a sprightly first week of January but trouble could lie just around the corner, starting with a scary couple of weeks as the fourth quarter bank results season begins.
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It was on Christmas Eve that China chose to launch what appeared to be a simple new trade scheme to start using renminbi, rather than US dollars or euros, in deals with eight neighbouring economies. Worries about both dollar volatility for exporters and the impact of a dollar slump on the country’s $2tr foreign currency holdings presumably led to the announcement being pitched softly over Christmas for fear of what it might do to the US currency.
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The debate over whether Deutsche Bank should have called its lower tier two bond at the first opportunity is refusing to die down with more fuel added to the fire this week when HBOS announced that it would call an upcoming deal of its own. Investors are still in inflammatory mood but tempers could be cooled if only bank regulators would stand up and publicly support issuers.