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The public bond market needs a Gulf reopener with transparent pricing
Turbulent market conditions of the Middle East war have pushed bond issuers and investors to try new things
A swift response is tempting, but lenders should avoid kneejerk reaction
Talk of de-dollarisation has evaporated. The dollar market remains the undisputed king of financing
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Policymakers need to be careful about muddying the waters with their public debates over how to regulate banks. But at the same time, banks and markets must come to terms with the fact that regulation has to be dynamic to be effective.
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A mass downgrade of eurozone sovereigns, such as that threatened by Monday’s move by Standard & Poor’s to put 15 of them on CreditWatch negative, would certainly be dramatic. But will investors care?
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Everyone would love to see something solid come out of Friday’s summitry. But unblocking sovereign markets and restoring confidence means reaching a settlement that will last, not something that will start to fray at the edges at the first sign of democracy.
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Even the cuddliest, most regulator-friendly banks need to do plenty of maturity transformation. It’s right there at the top of the list marked “what banks are for”. But regulators are doing their best to legislate it out of existence in the banking and insurance system. Where else can we look?
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After straining every nerve to wean British banks off government guarantees, encourage recapitalisation and private sector borrowing, the UK government has introduced... a new guarantee scheme to encourage lending. The scheme might even boost SME funding, but it is the most convoluted option on the table — and the worst value for the Treasury.
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Policy wonks and ratings analysts are trying to promote the idea of local government bond issuance in Asia. They should not get too excited. Corruption, infighting and weak transparency will ensure things don’t change soon.