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Turbulent market conditions of the Middle East war have pushed bond issuers and investors to try new things
A swift response is tempting, but lenders should avoid kneejerk reaction
Talk of de-dollarisation has evaporated. The dollar market remains the undisputed king of financing
Inflation caused by war threatens budding recovery in commercial real estate
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With all that has happened in the last few months in Russia and Ukraine, heads of DCM must be thinking about taking axes to their headcounts. But to start swinging them would be foolish when the market could still bounce back and annual refinancing volumes are about to rocket.
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The Securities and Exchange Commission has tried to cut the risk of runs in the money market fund industry by introducing liquidity fees and redemption gates. But as the Federal Reserve has just pointed out, by doing so it has done the opposite of what it intended, and made the funds more like banks.
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Indonesia’s Berau Coal Energy tried to tip the balance in its favour with its bond offering last week by asking investors to take on greater risk but not compensating them for it. Unsurprisingly, the deal did not see the finish line. BCE would do well to keep in mind the age old adage that you can’t have your cake and eat it too. -
With all that has happened in the last few months in Russia and Ukraine, heads of DCM must be thinking about taking axes to their headcounts. But to start swinging them would be foolish when the market could still bounce back and annual refinancing volumes are about to rocket.
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News last week that a minor tweak in S&P’s corporate loan rating methodology could win them back market share in the lucrative new issue CLO market reignited the debate about the business model of issuers paying to be rated. Even if S&P’s internal controls and the Chinese wall which they insist exists between commercial and analytical considerations is robust, market participants clearly do not believe it. It is time to overhaul the way the credit ratings industry works.
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With some Russian loan deals progressing despite US and EU sanctions, those borrowers who find support among banks should make sure they reward that loyalty later. But nobody wants to sour relations, so banks which choose not to lend must have long list of reasons why they can’t. Russian borrowers should not take it personally — they are going to need all the friends they can get, so more carrot and less stick is the way to see deals through.
