Central and Eastern Europe (CEE)
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Factors internal and external to the emerging markets are this week combining to stymie new issuance. -
Republika Srpska, an autonomous entity in Bosnia and Herzegovina, has printed its five year Eurobond, but the final size has fallen short of the hoped for €200m.
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The resounding victory of Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in this weekend’s presidential election has driven Turkish equities even lower, as concerns rise over the overheating economy. But the president could turn bears into bulls if he stabilises the economy, and some investors will jump at the chance to buy cheap Turkish equities.
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Turkish assets gave back early gains on Monday morning as investors digested the news of the victory of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and his AK Party (AKP) in the country’s presidential and parliamentary elections.
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Republika Srpska, an autonomous entity in Bosnia and Herzegovina, was set to issue a five year Eurobond at 4.75% on Friday, but those on the deal were not certain of reaching the maximum €200m size.
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Poland’s domestic bond market is not as big as participants would like it to be. It needs standardised documentation, they say, along with more ratings and the adoption of transparent, fixed rate coupons. Philip Moore reports.
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Polish GDP impressed in the first quarter of 2018, growing 5.2% year-on-year, up from the 5.1% estimated, driven by higher consumption and investment in infrastructure co-financed by EU funds. Ukrainian migrants have also boosted GDP. But with proposed cuts to EU funding set to hit Poland hardest — at a cost of 1% of GDP a year from 2021, according to some estimates — the outlook is not so rosy. Virginia Furness reports.
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The Republic of Poland has proved itself to be one of the most prudent and innovative borrowers in central and eastern Europe, leaving it well placed to navigate increasing volatility in global rates, while some less prepared issuers may run into funding difficulties. Virginia Furness reports.
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When Standard & Poor’s revised its outlook on Poland to positive in April, it was the latest in a series of welcome surprises. The economy has grown faster than most analysts expected, leading several of them to upgrade their forecasts for growth in 2018. In the capital market, meanwhile, it was Poland, rather than any of the core eurozone economies, that became the first sovereign in the green bond market. What next for Poland’s vibrant economy and capital market? Participants answering this question in the GlobalCapital Poland roundtable, which took place in London in early June, were:
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The Republika Srpska region of Bosnia and Herzegovina is seeking to issue a five year bearer bond of up to €200m through Hong Kong-based broker BMI Securities, but investors are cautious that this is not a run of the mill CEE bond issue.
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