Investec Eyes Cutting Junk, Emerging Market Bonds

Investec Asset Management will reduce exposure to high-yield and emerging market bonds in its Global High Income Bond Fund if volatility increases as the Federal Reserve raises interest rates.

  • 18 Jun 2004
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Investec Asset Management will reduce exposure to high-yield and emerging market bonds in its Global High Income Bond Fund if volatility increases as the Federal Reserve raises interest rates. "We could reduce our investment in higher-yielding assets to as low as 20% from 50% if we saw a repeat of 1994," said John Stopford, head of fixed income and manager of the $110 million fund. That was the last time rapidly rising interest rates brought an end to a long period of accommodative monetary policy. "We would get rid of the riskier stuff [such as] the triple-C high-yield names and some of our emerging markets exposure," he added.

Stopford expects the Fed Funds rate to rise by 1/4 point in June and to reach 2 1/4% by the end of the year. Mitigating his concerns is the fact that there has already been some 'pre-emptive unwinding' of riskier positions by competitors in anticipation of rising rates, and therefore he does not think a sell-off of the same magnitude as 1994 is likely.

The bias of the fund is towards being fully invested in high-yielding assets, with the balance in investment grade corporates. Over the past few months Stopford has cut the firm's combined high-yield corporate and emerging market debt exposure back from 90% to 50%--and the investment grade bond weighting up to 50%--by moving up the credit curve in high-yield and out of high volatility regions in emerging markets. "In emerging markets in particular, investors are not being paid to take on risk," he noted.

Stopford favors oil producing emerging markets including Russia, Mexico and Qatar, based on the high oil price, and has cut South American exposure altogether.

The firm also holds close to 30% in single-B names on the high-yield side, and another 25-30% in single-A names on the investment grade side. On an industry sector basis, these weightings are concentrated in industrials and both cyclical and non-cyclical consumer names. The fund refers to three different benchmarks: the Merrill Lynch European High-Yield Index, Merrill Lynch European Broad Market Index and J.P. Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index.

  • 18 Jun 2004

All International Bonds

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • Today
1 Citi 253,106.92 930 8.89%
2 JPMorgan 230,914.50 1036 8.11%
3 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 221,389.46 762 7.78%
4 Goldman Sachs 171,499.26 554 6.03%
5 Barclays 169,046.60 646 5.94%

Bookrunners of All Syndicated Loans EMEA

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
  • Last updated
  • 21 Jul 2017
1 HSBC 25,385.87 103 7.10%
2 Deutsche Bank 25,125.19 81 7.03%
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4 BNP Paribas 18,766.65 109 5.25%
5 Credit Agricole CIB 18,157.63 105 5.08%

Bookrunners of all EMEA ECM Issuance

Rank Lead Manager Amount $m No of issues Share %
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1 JPMorgan 12,578.87 55 8.17%
2 Citi 11,338.07 71 7.36%
3 UBS 10,682.06 44 6.93%
4 Goldman Sachs 10,419.53 53 6.76%
5 Morgan Stanley 10,194.88 57 6.62%