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◆ New bond priced before state election, far-right AfD leads polls ◆ JLM orders help carry deal across finishing line ◆ 'Fair' pick-up over Bunds but KfW spread ‘relatively tight’
◆ 'More defensive' five year tenor works well ◆ Record non-German demand, central banks show hands ◆ Länder-KfW spread 'at a good place'
Month-end buying from investors in secondary market to determine backdrop for next wave of issuance
◆ First 10 year Länder bond post-summer ◆ Pricing was fair versus KfW ◆ More diversified book than before
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◆ First five year dollar from the issuer since 2021 ◆ L-Bank print provided building block ◆ Further dollar deals planned -
◆ Bond priced flat to fair value ◆ 'Pros and cons' for tightening ◆ No-grow tactic deployed
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Market to come back strong after pausing for central bank meetings and Lunar New Year
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◆ Deal over 3x covered ◆ Peer supply 'only way to look at pricing' ◆ No-grow label helps deal
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◆ Deal four times covered ◆ Walloon used as reference ◆ Higher than average tightening
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◆ Book halves after tightening ◆ Bond prices at fair value ◆ Tightening by 1bp could 'kill a trade for the German states right now'
