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Market participants pray for no negative news overnight in hope of ‘pre-Easter wave of issuance’
Two day executions expose dollar issuers to market volatility
◆ Deal came after recent Ontario 10 year ◆ Ontario underperformed but still a key comp ◆ Some price sensitivity? No bother
◆ Another German issuer jumps into primary ◆ Orders rush in after pricing was fixed ◆ Does spread to KfW matter anymore?
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Public sector issuers are enjoying a rare time in dollars, with a lack of supply and strong demand allowing tightly priced short end deals — leading one syndicate official to respond to a question on pricing concessions with: “New issue what?” But hopes of longer end issuance appear dashed as US yields fall as quickly as expectations that US president Donald Trump will deliver on his pro-growth policies.
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The Province of Alberta is planning another two dollar benchmarks during this calendar year, as it attempts to make up lost time after a surprise rating action by S&P earlier in the year. The sub-sovereign also revealed to GlobalCapital its issuance expectations for its new US commercial paper programme.
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The Province of Alberta on Wednesday passed its first bond market test since suffering a double downgrade from S&P in May. Bankers away from the trade said it was a “good outcome”, despite having to pay a bit of concession — unlike most other dollar deals over the last few weeks.
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Investors have rarely been so supportive of public sector borrowing this side of Bastille Day. Issuers are churning out well-received benchmarks, but with a European Central Bank meeting approaching, market participants face a shortened week.