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Issuance recovers from last week’s wobble but concerns linger after issuers like KfW widen
◆ Sovereign rides post-EU momentum, beats size target ◆ Deal priced flat to fair value ◆ Thuringia oversubscribed but Länder books shrink
French government vote and EU syndication to shape market in coming days
◆ Other recent German deals finished uncovered ◆ RV against KfW was important ◆ Some argue outcome 'not great'
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Bond markets remain sanguine about the declaration of independence by Catalonia's president Carles Puigdemont on Tuesday, but that could change sharply if Spain clamps down with force.
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The European Investment Bank (EIB) and the German State of North Rhein-Westphalia (Land NRW) have picked banks for dollar benchmarks expected to hit the market on Wednesday.
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Spain and Catalonia could be heading for a “Pyrrhic victory on both sides” in terms of their capital markets access, if they fail to reach an agreement on the latter’s status after a disputed independence referendum on Sunday, according to capital markets lawyers.
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The buy-side is slowly removing European duration from portfolios in anticipation of the European Central Bank cutting its asset purchase programme, according to an investment director. Meanwhile, new cash flowing into the eurozone periphery is likely to go to Italy over Spain while uncertainty lingers over Catalonia’s future.
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Clashes during Catalonia’s disputed independence referendum over the weekend have taken their toll on Spanish government bonds ahead of a Bono auction on Thursday. But the country’s borrowing costs could steepen further if, as expected, the Catalan authorities declare independence, said analysts.
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It was a week of blistering conditions in the SSA dollar market but the pace of issuance has slowed a little in comparison to the glut that defined the few weeks of September.