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◆ Large demand leads to large print ◆ Early momentum in quality book ◆ 'Everything flying' but spread to swaps also attracts
Risk of complacency flagged as issuers continue to fund into summer
Investor relations efforts and euro demand help issuer price at ‘ambitious but not unrealistic’ level
◆ First euro deal since January 2024 ◆ Timing and tightening 'just right' ◆ Peer issuance provides confidence
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◆ Bond priced flat to fair value ◆ 'Pros and cons' for tightening ◆ No-grow tactic deployed
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Market to come back strong after pausing for central bank meetings and Lunar New Year
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◆ Deal over 3x covered ◆ Peer supply 'only way to look at pricing' ◆ No-grow label helps deal
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◆ Deal four times covered ◆ Walloon used as reference ◆ Higher than average tightening
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◆ Book halves after tightening ◆ Bond prices at fair value ◆ Tightening by 1bp could 'kill a trade for the German states right now'
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Lunar New Year celebrations and Federal Reserve and ECB meetings will reduce issuance this week