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Two day executions expose dollar issuers to market volatility
◆ Deal came after recent Ontario 10 year ◆ Ontario underperformed but still a key comp ◆ Some price sensitivity? No bother
◆ Another German issuer jumps into primary ◆ Orders rush in after pricing was fixed ◆ Does spread to KfW matter anymore?
◆ Aussie issuer returns after 2025 debut ◆ Asset managers like scarce international Australian risk ◆ Canadian names used to find fair value
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Equities are at record highs, rates at record lows; the US is quarrelling, China is slowing. As 2020 begins, participants are divided on which way markets will move. Toby Fildes picks 10 themes -
An unusual note of optimism defines the attitude of Europe’s public sector issuers as they approach 2020. While many other markets are beset by fears of a slowdown in global growth, trade wars, and Brexit, SSA borrowers are confident in their borrowing strategies and loyal investor bases. Despite a change of face in the ECB’s top job, rates are still set to remain low for the foreseeable future. Accordingly, investors are having to grit their teeth to stomach the scanty yields on offer for euro SSA assets. Although SSAs are offering little in the way of yield, their place as pioneers of the evolving SRI market always ensures lively debate. In this roundtable, held in early November, market participants on both the buyside and the sell side favoured a more holistic assessment of issuers’ ESG profiles, rather than relying on labelled assets, but whether or not the ECB should take a role in promoting the SRI market through “green QE” divided the group.
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2019 proved more fruitful for supranational, sovereign and agency borrowers than was expected in 2018 — in part thanks to a rejuvenation of the ECB’s asset purchase programme and a wholesale return to dovish monetary policies. GlobalCapital’s SSA team used its editorial judgment, with inspiration from GC’s world famous bond comments, to pick the top trades of the year. We strove to find deals that were not just the biggest, but that set pricing markers, were innovative and brave, or made an impression in other ways. GC presents the winners here. Congratulations to the issuers and banks involved.
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The Province of Alberta was downgraded by Moody’s this week, because of its reliance on fossil fuel energy as it struggles with a lack of pipeline capacity and volatile oil prices, report Burhan Khadbai and Frank Jackman.
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Moody's downgraded the Province of Alberta a notch on Tuesday with the rating agency blaming a “structural weakness” in the region’s economy through its dependence on non-renewable energy such as oil.
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Economies like Canada and Australia that rely upon carbon dioxide-heavy industries are well placed for establishing transition bonds in the SSA market. Having already blazed the trail for green bonds and new risk-free rate linked paper, it is time for SSA issuers to establish transition bonds as a public sector instrument.
