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◆ Sovereign back in euros, alternating from dollars in 2025 ◆ “Very low double digit” spread over Germany ◆ Sweden, KfW key comps
Likely successor as UK prime minister Andy Burnham further to the political 'left than anyone else’ but market hopeful that scope for more borrowing is limited
Fiscal targets for 2026 already met, more early debt repayments underway
A rally thanks to cheaper oil has let the Gilt market defer its reckoning with political risk. But it is coming, for sure
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Average spread to swaps up compared to early 2024 while spreads to govvies trend downwards -
Speculation around defence spending deters buyers, according to bankers
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◆ France first out of the door with 30 year ◆ Large book of €115bn, over 450 investors ◆ 'Very compressed' premium like EU and Italy
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Choice of 10 year tenor key to success, says DMO
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◆ Skinny new issue premium ◆ Deal 10 times covered ◆ Pricing with EU not a challenge
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◆ Record book and deal size ◆ Investor demand 'at odds' with media headlines ◆ Key BoE actor clears up position
