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All as expected by the market, but lack of more details regarding bill issuance somewhat disappoints
◆ Sovereign back in euros, alternating from dollars in 2025 ◆ “Very low double digit” spread over Germany ◆ Sweden, KfW key comps
Likely successor as UK prime minister Andy Burnham further to the political 'left than anyone else’ but market hopeful that scope for more borrowing is limited
Fiscal targets for 2026 already met, more early debt repayments underway
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Trading levels given are bid-side spreads versus mid-swaps and/or an underlying benchmark and bid-yields from the close of business on Monday, October 26. The source for secondary trading levels is ICE Data Services. -
Italian government bonds rallied across the curve on Monday after S&P upgraded its outlook on the sovereign on Friday in response to the country’s extraordinary fiscal measures and support from the European Central Bank’s asset purchase programme and the European Union’s incoming recovery fund. The positive sentiment bodes well for the imminent publication of Italy’s green bond framework and plans to return to the dollar market in the coming weeks.
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Greece hit the market this week with a €2bn tap, neatly threading a needle between the EU’s jumbo debut and a hefty 30 year from Italy. But unlike other sovereigns, the exercise was not a scramble for cash to mitigate the impact of the pandemic.
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This week's funding scorecard looks at the progress European sovereigns have made in their funding programmes towards the end of October.
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After months of waiting as even the great whites of the SSA oceans kept clear of primary bond sales in anticipation, the EU — now a bond market megalodon by comparison — cruised into a bait ball a quarter of a trillion euros big this week to take a €17bn bite out of its enormous pandemic recovery borrowing programme. Lewis McLellan and Bill Thornhill report.
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Europe’s bevy of recovery lending packages is undoubtedly a welcome gesture, but it may remain just that — a gesture. If trends continue as they are, some countries may prefer market lending to concessional loans from Europe.
