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Sovereigns

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SSA
All as expected by the market, but lack of more details regarding bill issuance somewhat disappoints
◆ Sovereign back in euros, alternating from dollars in 2025 ◆ “Very low double digit” spread over Germany ◆ Sweden, KfW key comps
Likely successor as UK prime minister Andy Burnham further to the political 'left than anyone else’ but market hopeful that scope for more borrowing is limited
Fiscal targets for 2026 already met, more early debt repayments underway
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  • Rating: Aa2/AA/AA
  • France became the latest European sovereign bond issuer to confront the problem of inflated orders with the sale of its second green OAT via syndication on Tuesday. But instead of bringing the spread in to price extremely tight like Italy and Spain did earlier in the year, France instead attempted to control the sale process by engaging with investors to persuade them not to put in excessive tickets in the first place. Burhan Khadbai reports.
  • The SSA market on Thursday was digesting the result of the previous night's Federal Reserve meeting. Fed chair Jerome Powell took a dovish stance in spite of high economic growth and some market participants believe that the strengthening inflation outlook could hurt demand for bonds at the long end of the curve.
  • US Treasury yields were climbing ever higher on Wednesday as a pivotal Federal Reserve meeting approached. Inflation expectations were climbing and the sell-off gathered pace ahead of the Federal Open Markets Committee gathering.
  • It was a long time coming, but Greece finally completed its curve with a 30 year bond on Wednesday. This was its first in the tenor since before the global financial crisis. The bond was a success, despite a choppy backdrop.
  • The number of primary dealerships for the European government bond market continues to fall, with 15 sovereigns now having their lowest number of primary dealerships on record, according to the Association for Financial Markets in Europe (AFME).