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Sovereigns

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SSA
All as expected by the market, but lack of more details regarding bill issuance somewhat disappoints
◆ Sovereign back in euros, alternating from dollars in 2025 ◆ “Very low double digit” spread over Germany ◆ Sweden, KfW key comps
Likely successor as UK prime minister Andy Burnham further to the political 'left than anyone else’ but market hopeful that scope for more borrowing is limited
Fiscal targets for 2026 already met, more early debt repayments underway
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  • The extremely dovish tone struck by the European Central Bank last week means there is no end in sight to the Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (Pepp). Given the uncertainty around the course of the pandemic, that is as it should be.
  • SSA
    The primary market was much quieter last week with only two markets active — SSA and corporate bonds. Total issuance in those markets fell to 32% and 18% of their 2021 weekly averages, respectively.
  • Moody’s upgraded Cyprus on Friday, leaving it one notch below investment grade status and a step closer to reclaiming high grade ratings from all three of the major rating agencies.
  • SSA
    The European Central Bank is not expected to sketch out the future of its Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (Pepp) until the fourth quarter of 2021, according to analysts.
  • SSA
    The European Central Bank adjusted its forward guidance on interest rates following its meeting on Thursday to bring it in line with its new symmetric inflation target, but the change was not unanimously approved by all governing council members.
  • The Republic of Indonesia veered off its usual funding plan by heading into the bond market this week with a dollar-euro combination trade, at a time when it is feeling the brunt of a big spike in Covid-19 cases. But the stability in secondary market trading and a fall in US Treasuries offered the sovereign an opportunity to top up its coffers, writes Morgan Davis.