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Equity IPOs

Bruised IPO market prepares for tough 2019

Equity capital markets bankers are expecting to be busy in 2019 despite the volatility that has marred the last few months of 2018. Nevertheless, they are predicting IPO sellers to be far more cautious when the market re-opens in January.

Sam Kerr, December 17, 2018
Bank Strategy

White hot levfin market faces intense 2019

The leveraged finance market has been the best business for capital markets banks this year — but rising debt levels, weakened investor protections and the rapidly growing volumes have brought regulatory attention. Some banks are pulling back from the most aggressive deals, but others are taking their place, and a burgeoning non-bank lending sector is keeping the market white hot regardless.

Owen Sanderson, December 17, 2018
Asia

Capital markets must avoid the optimism trap

Sustainability is conquering finance — to judge by what the industry likes to talk about. Outside the window, the real economy continues much as before. Is all the noise about green finance actually shifting capital in the right direction — or is it just making people feel better?

Jon Hay, December 17, 2018
Emerging Markets

Emerging markets watching Fed carefully in hopes of dovish turn

The Federal Open Market Committee is set to meet on Wednesday and, while a rate hike is expected, those in emerging markets have their fingers crossed for signs of a more dovish approach in 2019.

Lewis McLellan, December 17, 2018
EM LatAm

Analysts see value in Ecuador despite ratings warning

Bond market participants mostly welcomed news that Ecuador had signed a loan with China last week, with some stating that the government’s fiscal adjustment left the sovereign’s bonds looking attractive despite a negative outlook from Moody’s.

Oliver West, December 17, 2018
Market News

Trump calls high tide on financial regulation

US lawmakers have penned their first major reform of the policies drawn up to make banks safer after the financial crisis, and signs suggest that further deregulation could be on the cards during president Donald Trump’s remaining time in office. Tyler Davies asks if this is the beginning of the end for the international push towards tougher banking rules?

Tyler Davies, December 17, 2018
Emerging Markets

Emerging markets: it’s the US economy, stupid!

Emerging market bond investors are in the awkward position of having to wish for bad economic news. Not in EM, but in the US, where the roaring economy is driving the Federal Reserve into a fast tightening cycle that has savaged the investment case for EM bonds and pushed several weaker states to the brink of catastrophe. As Lewis McLellan reports, the recent plunge in US equities offers a whiff of hope.

Lewis McLellan, December 17, 2018
Bank Strategy

DCM foresees a tougher market

Pain from Brexit, higher interest rates, quantitative easing ending and political strains in the EU will all lead to more volatility in 2019, according to 22 heads of debt capital markets in the EMEA market, including 18 of the top 20, in Toby Fildes’ annual outlook survey. And that’s before Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin and Mohammed bin Salman get going. There is some good news, however: financial institutions are set to be big issuers, and the DCM heads expect to be net hirers...

Toby Fildes, December 17, 2018
SSA

Wounded London faces long Brexit contest with continent

London has peaked as Europe’s capital markets hub. But how much of the business it will lose is still to play for. Bankers’ faith that only some functions need go looks misplaced. The stage is set for a drawn-out poker game between banks wanting to stay in London and continental regulators who hold a strong hand.

Jon Hay, December 17, 2018
Corporate Bonds

Going solo: capital markets prepare for a world without QE

It has only been four years, but the European bond markets have become attached to the kindly hand of Mother ECB. Quantitative easing has been like an electric motor on the market’s bicycle — in 2019, it will have to go back to doing all the pedalling itself. Can the market do it without falling off, when the road ahead is so bumpy?

Nigel Owen, December 17, 2018
GC View

Capital markets find a sense of purpose

Financial markets are often seen as cold, calculating machines for making money. That is part of their function. But increasingly, people are talking of markets’ broader social purpose — that they exist to serve humanity and make its existence healthier and more sustainable. Toby Fildes argues that, 10 years on from the crisis, this new ethos will govern the markets’ future.

Toby Fildes, December 17, 2018
Equity

EM optimism bucks bearish trend

Emerging market equity investors are broadly optimistic in the last few days of 2018, a stark contrast to the dire mood in both US and European equity markets.

Sam Kerr, December 17, 2018

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