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Emerging Markets

Emerging markets: it’s the US economy, stupid!

Emerging market bond investors are in the awkward position of having to wish for bad economic news. Not in EM, but in the US, where the roaring economy is driving the Federal Reserve into a fast tightening cycle that has savaged the investment case for EM bonds and pushed several weaker states to the brink of catastrophe. As Lewis McLellan reports, the recent plunge in US equities offers a whiff of hope.

Lewis McLellan, December 17, 2018
Bank Strategy

DCM foresees a tougher market

Pain from Brexit, higher interest rates, quantitative easing ending and political strains in the EU will all lead to more volatility in 2019, according to 22 heads of debt capital markets in the EMEA market, including 18 of the top 20, in Toby Fildes’ annual outlook survey. And that’s before Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin and Mohammed bin Salman get going. There is some good news, however: financial institutions are set to be big issuers, and the DCM heads expect to be net hirers...

Toby Fildes, December 17, 2018
SSA

Wounded London faces long Brexit contest with continent

London has peaked as Europe’s capital markets hub. But how much of the business it will lose is still to play for. Bankers’ faith that only some functions need go looks misplaced. The stage is set for a drawn-out poker game between banks wanting to stay in London and continental regulators who hold a strong hand.

Jon Hay, December 17, 2018
Corporate Bonds

Going solo: capital markets prepare for a world without QE

It has only been four years, but the European bond markets have become attached to the kindly hand of Mother ECB. Quantitative easing has been like an electric motor on the market’s bicycle — in 2019, it will have to go back to doing all the pedalling itself. Can the market do it without falling off, when the road ahead is so bumpy?

Nigel Owen, December 17, 2018
GC View

Capital markets find a sense of purpose

Financial markets are often seen as cold, calculating machines for making money. That is part of their function. But increasingly, people are talking of markets’ broader social purpose — that they exist to serve humanity and make its existence healthier and more sustainable. Toby Fildes argues that, 10 years on from the crisis, this new ethos will govern the markets’ future.

Toby Fildes, December 17, 2018
Equity

EM optimism bucks bearish trend

Emerging market equity investors are broadly optimistic in the last few days of 2018, a stark contrast to the dire mood in both US and European equity markets.

Sam Kerr, December 17, 2018
Asia

BOCGI to price 'unusual' Panda bond

Bank of China Group Investment, a Hong Kong-based wholly owned subsidiary of Bank of China, will price a Rmb2bn ($290m) three year note on Tuesday. But some rivals have raised questions about whether the deal is a true funding exercise.

Rebecca Feng, December 17, 2018
Supras and agencies

Funding scorecard: French agencies

This week's funding scorecard looks at the progress French agencies have made in their funding programmes as the year comes to a close. A few agencies have also set their funding targets for 2019.

Burhan Khadbai, December 17, 2018
Asia

Zhongyu Gas returns for $250m three year loan

Zhongyu Gas Holding has returned to the offshore loan market for its second borrowing this year, offering a $250m three year facility.

Pan Yue, December 17, 2018
Asia

Fosun plans $800m Henlius Biotech spin-off

Shanghai Henlius Biotech has joined a growing pipeline of biotechnology firms planning to float in Hong Kong. It wants to list in the first quarter of 2019, said a banker working on the transaction.

Jonathan Breen, December 17, 2018
Asia

Kangde Xin dollar bond plunges to new low

Bonds issued by China’s Kangde Xin Composite Material Group plummeted in the secondary market on Monday, losing around a third of their value after rumours of an onshore default.

Addison Gong, December 17, 2018
Asia

Junshi Bio seals $394m Hong Kong IPO

Shanghai Junshi Biosciences has raised HK$3.08bn ($394.2m) after pricing its IPO at the bottom of the range, according to a banker on the deal.

Jonathan Breen, December 17, 2018

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