French Sovereign
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Dollar SSA issuance is expected to pick up next week, thanks to a change in the euro/dollar basis swap that is making issuance in the currency more attractive for euro funders. There was still a smattering of dollar trades this week, including a Sofr-linked floater that broke new ground for the format.
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The European Central Bank struck a decidedly dovish tone at its meeting on Thursday, meaning there were no nasty surprises for SSAs planning bond issues in the coming days. A French agency is on screens for a deal in dollars this Friday, while euro and dollar benchmarks are slated for next week.
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The engine driving the SSA euro market has found a new gear as borrowers and investors turn their attention to the hitherto underserved long end of the curve. The overwhelming demand they received this week is likely to encourage more borrowers to follow.
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An SSA borrower smashed another set of records with a long dated bond on Tuesday. France’s hotly anticipated 30 year syndication did not disappoint, raising €7bn with its lowest yield ever at the maturity.
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France has picked banks for a long 30 year euro benchmark, returning to the long end of the curve with a syndication for the first time since May 2017, as promised in late 2018.
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The European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) and Agence Française de Développement (AFD) became the latest issuers to enjoy a strong euro market this week, and there is more supply to come.
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The European Financial Stability Facility completed its funding for the first quarter with a dual tranche offering on Tuesday, which was priced with minimal concession, according to the leads.
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The European Financial Stability Facility mandated banks on Monday for a long five year and a tap of its February 2043 bond.
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France increased the size of its Green OAT for the first time in 2019 on Thursday. The sovereign could follow up with a 30 year syndication as early as next week, said market participants.
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With SSA primary market conditions red hot, it would be wise for French public sector borrowers to crack on with their funding ahead of a double whammy of risk events in May.