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Banks could rush to issue as fast as possible, taking advantage of remarkably tight spreads
European and other regulators are working on reforms to make covered bond funding more efficient
Changes to ECB collateral eligibility requirement could lead to more blockchain-based covered bonds, Moody's suggests
All three 2026 dollar covered bonds issued in past fortnight as issuers adapt to market conditions
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Just one debut issuer is planning a covered bond this week as investors digest September’s supply surfeit -
Cheap central bank financing is on the way out, giving rise to hopes of a busy autumn
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If the European Central Bank is serious about promoting banking sector consolidation, it must wean issuers off the Targeted Long Term Refinancing Operation
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The European Central Bank’s Targeted Long Term Refinancing Operation may never disappear, but the central bank will find it difficult to maintain record-breaking interest rates on its loans as the economy recovers from the pandemic. As the terms of the liquidity scheme surely begin to tighten, issuers will have a greater incentive to repay TLTROs and switch to market funding.
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The volume of retained covered bond issuance used for European Central Bank repo purposes exceeds distributed by many times in several countries. While this repo has provided a welcome boost to bank profits, it has come at the expense of long-term banking sector stability.
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Private placements are expected to make up the bulk of Swedish covered bond paper throughout the latter half of 2021 and, with the Nordic summer holiday period coming to end, issuance from the region is expected to kick off ahead of the eurozone.
