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Strong demand for slim supply could tempt issuers to access the market before Christmas
No investors involved in Caffil's latest deal mentioned concerns over French risk
Issuers' desire to put covered pre-funding to one side suggests concerns over bumps ahead
Absence of new bonds to help secondary spreads grind tighter
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◆ Prefunding discussions to pick up in the autumn ◆ Elevated spreads are deterring supply ◆ US election will dictate demand -
◆ Average benchmark tenor up from 2023 ◆ Seven years proves popular ◆ Longer dated deals look unlikely
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◆ New issue premiums return to euro covered issuance ◆ Issuers unable to tighten despite wider starting spreads ◆ French covered spreads could tighten
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◆ German banks raced out of the blocks this year ◆ Slower loan book growth to damp supply ◆ Pfandbrief spreads unlikely to tighten
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Pfandbrief lender plans only two weeks of marketing, down from the eight needed by KfW
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◆ New legislation will drive supply ◆ Covered bonds become a crucial part of Polish funding mix ◆ Up to €1bn of fresh paper expected this year
