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Underlying concerns among investors and issuers about covered bonds force them to the sidelines
Market participants agree new issue premiums will go up when the Iran war ends, but not by how much
Specialist investors and strong names dominate as issuers stretch out to 15 years
Unsecured bonds could become more expensive to issue, covered bonds cheaper
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French rates risk appetite returns but OAT spreads still a hurdle for covered issuers -
SSA spreads present the only major hurdle for rampant covered bond revival
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◆ Tight govvie spread no problem for spread hunters ◆ No premium needed ◆ Some buyers resisted pricing through 70bp
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Slimmer premiums expected this January compared to previous years
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One or two German speaking issuers could issue this week
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At least one deal expected next week as issuers prefer unsecured bonds instead
