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Borrowing in euros inevitable as CEE firms look to become 'larger, more regular issuers'
French covered bonds, southern European senior and tier two paper among the deals expected
Issuers expected to squeeze in before tariff volatility returns and summer holidays start
Investor sensitivity means lower spread moves and smaller book cover levels
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Wider swap spreads provide French covered bonds a buffer against competing SSA levels -
◆ Bund-swap spread hits single digits ◆ Tight levels put pressure on Pfandbrief spreads ◆ Further 'expensive' covered supply unlikely
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◆ Low redemptions led to lower supply in 2024 ◆ Canadian banks could return to refi ◆ Dollar supply to more than double in 2025
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Abnormal trend expected to continue posing question for FIG treasury officials
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Investors would rather buy SSAs than covereds, say bankers
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Market participants are invited to give their views on the outlook for covered bonds next year
