Euro
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Despite prevailing bleak sentiment from expensive Pfandbrief issuers, the market is bracing for the reopening of the long end of the market
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◆ Interest rate expectations power demand for higher yielding bonds, duration in covereds ◆ Synthetic indices tighten to fresh 12-month low ◆ Market in rude health for January issuance
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Hundreds of billions due for refinancing but expected lack of new opportunities makes this less daunting
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French agency to front-load issuance next year as conditions remain ‘hard to predict’
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Issuer to bring six syndicated benchmarks across euros, dollars and sterling in 2024
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Rally in corporate credit shows no sign of abating as central banks meet
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◆ ECB repayments to influence banks’ covered and SP issuance ◆ But TLTRO repayments less important than this year ◆ Large pre-funding could mean lighter January supply
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Bank analysts agree that Bund ASWs will tighten in 2024
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IG corporate investors mostly dread central bank missteps, according to BofA survey
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◆ End of year slow down exacerbated by caution ahead of major central bank decisions ◆ Sentiment stays strong albeit some dents after strong US economic data forces changes in rate cut expectations ◆ European banks send RFPs for January issuance
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Only premier corporates expected to print in remaining days
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IG companies’ premiums have halved, according to the Primary Market Monitor