Currencies
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The secondary market has been busier this week, with real money investors taking advantage of a cheapening in covered bonds relative to government bonds. With the ECB likely to step up purchases in the secondary market and government bonds, the outlook for the remainder of the year should be broadly supportive.
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Covered bonds benchmark issuance could grow to as much as €180bn globally next year according to Crédit Agricole research. The main growth is likely to be seen in euro benchmarks where the analysts expect €150bn.
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Deutsche Bahn priced a Sfr175m 10 year bond on Monday, its first issue in Swiss francs for over a year.
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Glarner Kantonalbank (GLKB) has priced a junior subordinated Swiss franc additional tier one (AT1) bond on Friday, drawing interest from local retail investors.
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The Norwegian issuer surprised the markets with a rare three year on Wednesday. The deal was one of the largest issued in euros this year and attracted an exceptionally high quality order book, though the oversubscription ratio was less convincing.
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TSB's UK prime RMBS programme made a solid start on Wednesday afternoon, as the bank placed a debut £537m-equivalent deal in sterling and euros. The issuer retained over two thirds of the sterling tranche despite offering a decent spread pick-up, but the euro tranche priced strongly.
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Deutsche Apotheker- und Ärztebank, or apoBank, received a strong endorsement from investors for its first benchmark Pfandbrief in more than seven years.
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A comparison of existing European covered bond laws suggests German credit quality will be hit hardest if Europe adopts a single covered bond framework. The European Commission has proposed a Pan-European covered bond law, prompting Moody’s to release the study this week.
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Caixabank, Spain’s largest retail bank, priced a €1bn five year deal on Wednesday, attracting investors with a generous new issue premium. The transaction attracted the broadest and deepest distribution of any Spanish deal since July.
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China’s decision to reform its parity mechanism has ushered in a new phase of volatility for both the onshore RMB (CNY) and its offshore counterpart (CNH). Beijing has said markets should welcome the volatility as a signal of its reduced influence on the currency. For market watchers, external forces will be equally crucial to its success.
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Initial price thoughts have been indicated for TSB’s first UK prime RMBS deal, with the transaction offering a pick up on both the euro and sterling tranches for investors, compared to more established issuers.
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Deutsche Bank is set to go on the road and market its first Cédulas Hipotecarias, which was rated Aa2 with Moody’s on Monday.