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Asian buyers driving callable SSA market have resurfaced in public benchmark deals
Public sector issuers have become more flexible when executing cross-currency interest rate swaps
Politically motivated prosecutions endanger democracy
Solutions exist but political will is necessary
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Not content with the central bank purchase programmes of seemingly infinite elasticity, some Italian officials have recently floated the possibility of the ECB forgiving the debt it has purchased. This is illegal, and changing the law is not what Europe needs at the moment.
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Jean Pierre Mustier's departure from UniCredit may help Italy in an attempt — shared by governments and supervisors around Europe — to push the banking sector to help solve economic policy problems during the pandemic. -
The newest recruit to the ranks of large supranational issuers is also the bulkiest. Responding to Covid-19, the EU has created the €100bn SURE fund, active already, and a €750bn Next Gen EU programme, coming next year. Both are bond-financed, requiring a huge increase in the EU’s until now modest issuance, especially in the next two or three years.
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There is every reason to be sceptical of the UK’s plan for a national infrastructure bank. Infrastructure is hard to finance because governments are unreliable. Combining hard assets expected to pay back over 30 years with democratic governments that change course every few makes private investors reluctant to treat long-term infra projects as a pure matter of credit risk.
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By all measures, the first two transactions of the European Union’s arrival as a supersized issuer in the capital markets were tremendous successes. The order books were world beaters, the new issue premiums were tiny despite the huge deal sizes, and the secondary performance has been incredible. But while it has been plain sailing so far, there are bigger tests ahead.
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Sustainability-linked pricing has arrived in the equity capital markets. This is no bad thing.
