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Premiums may not be at risk of increasing yet but caution should remain the watchword
It will be better for all in the long run if Venezuela can prioritise domestic spending over debt repayments
The rollover risks sovereigns are accepting in exchange for cheaper funding
It's not the juniors in capital markets who need protecting from obsolescence. They stand to benefit most from the deployment of AI
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De-coupled or re-coupled is besides the point: the emerging markets have always been a rollercoaster ride. The stomach-churning terror of the latest downturn is the price to be paid for next, exhilarating bull run.
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When is tier one capital not tier one capital? Whenever the US Treasury decides, apparently. Playing fast and loose with those rules is just the latest in a string of decisions that show the US government failing to think through the implications of its hasty bail-out proposals.
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The acquisition of ABN Amro was meant to transform Royal Bank of Scotland into a genuine powerhouse in global financial markets. Instead, the takeover marked the beginning of the end of RBS’s rapid overseas expansion and its descent into nationalisation. Meanwhile, the bank it beat in the race for ABN, Barclays, has since managed to bring on board powerful strategic investors including the mighty Temasek, snap up Lehman Brothers’ US business for a song and, crucially, avoid state support and all which that entails.
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The acquisition of ABN Amro was meant to transform Royal Bank of Scotland into a genuine powerhouse in global financial markets. Instead, the takeover marked the beginning of the end of RBS’s rapid overseas expansion and its descent into nationalisation. Meanwhile, the bank it beat in the race for ABN, Barclays, has since managed to bring on board powerful strategic investors including the mighty Temasek, snap up Lehman Brothers’ US business for a song and, crucially, avoid state support and all which that entails.
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Equities are up, credit spreads are down and the interbank market is moving again — but the euro commercial paper market is yet to respond to the concerted government bail-out plans announced this week. Normality is still a long way off.
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Bankers across Europe, and particularly in the UK, have a new dilemma to ponder. Government intervention in the global financial crisis might have been necessary — but just how much will banks have to radically change their business as a result? One big question this week is how much a UK government-controlled Royal Bank of Scotland will have to re-evaluate its lending policy.