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Premiums may not be at risk of increasing yet but caution should remain the watchword
It will be better for all in the long run if Venezuela can prioritise domestic spending over debt repayments
The rollover risks sovereigns are accepting in exchange for cheaper funding
It's not the juniors in capital markets who need protecting from obsolescence. They stand to benefit most from the deployment of AI
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  • Local politicians swerved a common sense solution last week, opting for a local bail-out of BayernLB instead of watching the Swabians next door swallow it up. The seemingly inevitable endgame for the landesbanks was postponed once more.
  • A horrendous year for corporate bond investors is ending with an early visit from Santa Claus. By going on strike until new issues were priced with spreads so wide they were all but guaranteed to tighten significantly, corporate bond investors have been able to salvage at least something from 2008.
  • Capacity, not pricing is now the key issue in Europe’s high grade syndicated loans market, say bankers. That might be true but it doesn’t mean that margins and fees shouldn’t continue to rise.
  • Have fortunes ever turned around so quickly? Sovereign wealth funds, the great hope for financial markets just a few months ago, are now suffering under losses on recent risky investments. Worse, economic reality has caught up with them and removed much of their raison d’etre.
  • Just a few short weeks ago, the government guaranteed bank bond market was threatening to become a dreary procession of nondescript identi-bonds. It might not be to every issuer’s taste, but the cut-throat scramble that has instead emerged can only be welcomed by anyone wishing to see a vibrant bond market.
  • Faced with looming defaults in the Spanish property sector, banks are contemplating radical ideas to save companies struggling with debt. It’s going to take some bold moves — banks may find they have to stump up more cash to offer third parties and potential acquirers, or take equity stakes in some of the firms.