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Turbulent market conditions of the Middle East war have pushed bond issuers and investors to try new things
A swift response is tempting, but lenders should avoid kneejerk reaction
Talk of de-dollarisation has evaporated. The dollar market remains the undisputed king of financing
Inflation caused by war threatens budding recovery in commercial real estate
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Green bond sceptics have so far been proved right in their dire predictions for the take-up of this type of funding in Asia. But some important initiatives, combined with growing investor interest, mean that 2015 will be the year when Asia finally gets to grips with the green bond movement.
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As the first overseas renminbi hub outside Hong Kong, there were high hopes for Taiwan when it got its official RMB clearing bank in December 2012. But although its local RMB market has gained ground through its RMB deposit base and the expansion of the Formosa bond sector, Taiwan is falling behind as attention spreads to the emerging hubs elsewhere. More regulatory hurdles need to be removed for RMB internationalisation to take off in 2015.
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To some credit traders it has been known affectionately as the most hated rally in history, but the inexorable rise of financial assets in the aftermath of the credit crunch has recently hit an impasse – and 2015 has begun with successive days of weakness. Even if they are starting to feel discomfort, market participants should celebrate a timely health check.
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On December 30, when most investors were on holiday, Credit Suisse changed the terms of its existing covered bonds from a hard to a soft bullet maturity with the approval of just a few investors. Other issuers looking to change the terms of existing deals should be more upfront about liability management exercises that could put investors at a disadvantage.
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Mention “Basel capital charges” to someone in the securitization business and prepare for a shudder — the industry has had to swallow new rules every year for three years, and costs could still cripple the market. But help could be at hand from another set of Basel rules.
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It has barely started, but the new year is already gearing up to be a challenging one for Asian high yield corporates thanks to a high profile default by China’s Kaisa Group Holding and the looming prospect of rate rises. With local markets looking tougher, it’s time for issuers to start broadening their investor base and consider 144A deals.