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Issuance has kept going by giving investors just what they want
John Healey resigned because the money was not there for defence. It may not be there for anything
Bifurcation is emerging in how investors treat the hyperscalers
Investors should feel more confident when BNPL products are regulated like mainstream consumer credit
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A lot of ink has been spilt over the moral hazard of allowing Greece to restructure its €240bn in Troika debt with haircuts. But seeing Greece's struggle with debt as an essentially moral problem leads to a stubbornness that precludes pragmatism.
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Faced with shrinking yields, covered bond investors have been deserting the market. Unless the ECB moves out of the way and switches to sovereign purchases fast, there is a real risk that these buyers will not be there when the extraordinary stimulus measures now being delivered are taken away.
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The European Commission’s “Juncker Plan” to boost investment by €315bn ($356.14bn) is welcome. Scepticism that it cannot work because it only has €21bn of capital is unwarranted. The European Investment Bank is putting its shoulder to the wheel and should not be underestimated. But do not expect this to solve Europe’s infrastructure investment problems. Money is not the problem. The real obstacles is are governments' indecision about what infrastructure they want and how investors will make a return.
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JP Morgan’s investor survey found 19% of high grade investors think new issue premium (Nip) will be the best source of alpha in the year ahead. With yields on the floor, it makes sense, but it is sign of a deep malaise in the fixed income market.
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Asian investment grade bond issuers have made their presence felt in the euro market in recent years as they seek diversification. With the European Central Bank’s quantitative easing programme set to lower rates, now would seem the be the ideal opportunity for more Asian names to target eurozone investors. But with US large caps also eyeing euros, Asian credits are likely to get pushed aside. -
With China's central bank finally starting to use the phrase "RMB internationalisation" to describe its efforts to promote the currency, the process looks set to enter a new stage this year. In contrast to earlier measures, the government's latest initiatives are all about encouraging capital and investment to go out into the wider world. That means it's time for China's domestic players to take a bigger role.
