CEE Bonds

Sovcomflot, the shipping company majority-owned by the Russian state, is planning to enter the debt capital markets. But the dollar bond mandate comes at a tricky time as military escalation between Russia and Ukraine has caused investor confidence of assets on both sides to fall.

Slovakian lender Tatra Banka is hoping to launch its debut green bond in euros this week, with deal arrangers urging rare issuers to take advantage of quieter markets in the run-up to results season.

Romania this week returned to the international debt markets to issue euro-denominated bonds.

Mobile TeleSystems, Russia’s largest mobile operator, has sold a social bond in roubles, as it became the latest major Russian corporate to foray into ESG financing. The issuer has not ruled out a return to international markets, although in recent years it has pivoted towards domestic funding.

Play, the Polish mobile network operator, has raised a syndicated loan from European banks, according to sources, while total volumes from central and eastern Europe’s biggest economies have been low so far this year.

Confidence in Turkish assets hit fresh lows this week as investors struggled to digest a fresh wave of volatility after its central bank governor was sacked following an interest rate hike. With government and bank funding needs to be met in the international market, the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey has a big job on its hands in regaining investor confidence — though some say the damage has already been done.

Belfius cancelled a consent solicitation for one of its tier two bonds this week after the Single Resolution Board took the market by surprise and broadened the scope of its grandfathering period for ‘Brexit bonds’.

The shock sacking of Turkey’s third central bank governor in two years confirms to investors that the country lives in a world of its own — one in which central bank independence and fiscal prudence come second to the ideologies of the leader.

A handful of bond mandates from the CEEMEA region this week suggests that issuer confidence may be on the rise across emerging markets after a particularly turbulent period of sell-offs in US Treasury bonds.

An imminent bond issue from Turkey is looking unlikely, investors say, after the abrupt sacking on Saturday of Naci Ağbal, governor of the central bank, just a day after he had raised interest rates by 200bp. Both hard and local currency bonds have sold off and market participants fear a balance of payments crisis.

A wave of central bank rate hikes across emerging markets over the last week, particularly in CEEMEA, has stimulated investor confidence amid a volatile period in global markets. The recent rise in US Treasury yields had threatened to pull money away from EM, with a further risk of weakening local currencies.

Bond markets have been settling in for a period of higher US Treasury yields since Wednesday when the Federal Reserve confirmed it did not expect to raise rates before 2024. While that made long-dated issuance trickier for SSA issuers, there was hope that emerging market bond issuance will soon resume, even if a bumpy ride lies in wait. Mariam Meskin, Oliver West and Lewis McLellan report.