CEE Bonds
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Banks have been fretting about Russian loans, both because it looks bad to lend to a country which has recently annexed part of another sovereign state, to widespread international condemnation, and because they don't want to be stuck with the risk if wider sanctions are imposed. They should band together to push Russian issuers towards their bond desks instead.
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The bond market on Monday reacted calmly to a Crimean declaration of independence and its application to join Russia. Russia's bonds are still under pressure and CDS levels are still rising. But the primary CEEMEA market remains open, and Middle Eastern borrowers are among those planning deals, said EM debt bankers. -
A new Panda bond issue by Daimler, a Germany car manufacturer, has established a milestone in RMB funding for offshore borrowers, marking the first ever such deal from a corporate name. The Rmb500m ($81m) one-year paper priced at 5.2% on Friday, March 14 and was privately placed through Bank of China.
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All eyes are on Crimea, where Russia’s reaction to a referendum on Sunday will determine whether the CEEMEA market is thrown into confusion or can still hold out hope of short term bond supply. But most emerging market analysts and debt bankers expect the situation to get worse before it gets better, which means a broad retreat from EM risk.
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Russia has released a request for proposals for banks to organise its latest bond issue in dollars and possibly euros, according to two bankers in London.
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The Republic of Azerbaijan brought its long awaited debut bond to the market this week. The country launched a successful $1.25bn 10 year transaction and showed that some issuers in the CEE region have remained largely immune to rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine. But bankers are unsure whether this will still be the case after a Crimean referendum at the weekend.
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The first Russian mandate has been given for a Russian Eurobond since the country moved troops into Crimea on March 1. Lukoil has mandated Citi and JP Morgan to arrange its next Eurobond.
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Indian telecoms company Bharti Airtel sold its debut Swiss franc deal on Thursday morning, a six year note. Strong demand allowed the issuer to sell the largest ever Swiss franc deal from the country.
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Latin America bolstered meagre emerging market issuance this week, ignoring persistent fears about fallout from Ukraine. Petrobras pulled off an impressive $8.5bn six tranche bond and Mexico is in the market with a rare 100 year sterling deal. But Sunday's planned referendum on Crimea joining Russia is weighing on risk appetite, and could quash any potential pipeline.
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The Republic of Azerbaijan’s debut deal was trading up on Tuesday morning after the sovereign attracted a respectable $3.25bn order book for its $1.25bn 10 year transaction. Analysts felt the final price was fair to tight, but in an environment of meagre supply buyers are happy to pay for rarity and a strong credit story.
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A group of British Ukrainians, EuroMaidan London, is holding a protest outside VTB Capital’s offices in the City of London this afternoon. The group plans to hoist up a washing line of dirty Russian roubles and British pounds in front of VTB in protest at the invasion of Crimea and the UK government’s lack of sanctions on Russian oligarchs and financial institutions.
