BMO Capital Markets
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The African Development Bank was awash with superlatives from SSA bankers watching on jealously as it printed a $2bn March 2021 global through mid-swaps on Wednesday. The supranational — like other SSAs in dollars this week — benefited from widening swap spreads that some analysts believe have further to go.
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Public sector borrowers found buckets of dollar demand on Tuesday, as a French agency sold its largest ever benchmark in the currency and a supranational printed a trade at the upper end of its historical size range. Another supra is lined up to test whether that demand will hold on Wednesday.
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The Province of Alberta printed a strong 10 year dollar benchmark on Thursday — the first in that maturity from an SSA since late January — leading the way for others to follow, said SSA bankers. Elsewhere, five years was very much in vogue in the dollar market — although there were some signs of investor fatigue by the end of the week, despite more issuers being expected to look at the tenor next week.
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The Province of Alberta printed a strong 10 year dollar benchmark on Thursday — the first from an SSA since late January — leading the way for others to follow, said SSA bankers. Elsewhere, Export Development Canada was unable to move from price thoughts on a five year global.
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Swedish Export Credit Corporation on Wednesday priced what bankers away from the deal said was a “very strong trade”, as it printed in the same five year tenor that has brought success for SSAs over the last few weeks. But one borrower is set to attempt a tenor that has not been visited since late January.
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Fresh doubt has been cast on whether the record-breaking $100bn loan package for US chip maker Broadcom will come to fruition, after a US national security committee took the unusual step of issuing a public warning against the acquisition that the funds will finance.
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The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development set a new pricing bar for 2018 in five year dollars on Wednesday as it equalled its largest ever dollar benchmark size. Municipality Finance was also out in the same tenor, with a trade that leads said had a concession of 2bp-3bp.
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Europe’s syndicated loans bankers say recent transactions highlight how cut-throat the market is for lenders, as the European Commission gets under way with a study on market practices.
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FMS Wertmanagement on Tuesday took advantage of widening swap spreads to equal the tightest spread to mid-swaps on a five year benchmark so far this year — a level that was “very tight” to KfW, said bankers on the trade. Two other borrowers are lining up to try their luck in the tenor — including one that is aiming for an even tighter spread.
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Bank Nederlandse Gemeenten this week capitalised on movements in short end dollar rates to print its largest trade in nearly two years. It was the solitary dollar benchmark this week, but with the Chinese New Year holidays out of the way and Asian investors back at their desks, bankers expect supply to pick up next week and for the very short end to still be the place to be.